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Numbers Game: Sharks add pair from Avalanche

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Scott Cullen
2/27/2012 6:57:34 PM
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One of the biggest deals of deadline day involved the San Jose Sharks and Colorado Avalanche, swapping five players and a draft pick.

Numbers Game breaks down the deal.

The Sharks Get: RW Daniel Winnik, LW T.J. Galiardi and a seventh-round pick

Winnik, 26, is a big checking winger who ranks fourth in the league with 3:02 of shorthanded ice time per game, playing a career-high 17:42 per game this season for the Avalanche.

While Winnik has five goals and 18 points in 62 games this season, he's a career-worst minus-11, but that comes despite a positive shot differential (plus-3.5 per 60 minutes of 5-on-5 play; www.behindthenet.ca) and starting only 46.1% of his shifts in the offensive zone. That role shouldn't change for Winnik -- he'll remain in a checking role in San Jose too.

At a cap hit of $950,000 this season, Winnik is very reasonably priced and will be in line for a decent raise as an unrestricted free agent this summer.

Galiardi is a 23-year-old winger who has fallen on hard times the last couple years after a promising rookie season in 2009-2010 when he scored 39 points in 70 games for the Avalanche.

Galiardi played 18:11 per game that season, but his role has declined since, down to 13:33 of ice time per game this season and he's managed eight goals and 14 points with a minus-6 rating in 55 games this season.

At his best, Galiardi is an effective checker, who can frustrate opponents with strong skating and in-your-face play, even contributing some offensively and his versatility should work well in San Jose, where the Sharks have frequently shuffled their lines, often including a checking winger with a couple of scoring forwards on a unit.

Earning $700,000 this season, Galiardi will be a restricted free agent in the summer.

A seventh-round pick doesn't hold a lot of value, approximately a 10% chance of yielding an NHL player, but it is a sweetener to get the deal done.

The Avalanche Get: LW Jamie McGinn, LW Mike Connolly and RW Michael Sgarbossa.

McGinn is a 23-year-old winger who is enjoying a bit of breakthrough season for the Sharks, tallying 12 goals, 24 points and plus-1 rating in 62 games. At the same time, his shot differential (plus-1.2 per 60 minutes of 5-on-5 play) is second-lowest among Sharks forwards.

Moving to Colorado could give McGinn an opportunity to play more than the 12:33 per game he was getting in San Jose but, at a 680,000 cap hit, he is good value as a third-line winger. He'll be a restricted free agent in the summer.

Signed out of Minnesota-Duluth as an undrafted free agent, 22-year-old Mike Connolly is having a strong first season in the AHL, putting up 30 points with a plus-4 rating in 40 games. He's not the biggest (5-foot-9, 180 pounds), but has some offensive upside and it seems to be translating to the pro game.

For a player who was signed, undrafted, out of major junior, Michael Sgarbossa has become a solid prospect, putting up 41 goals, 84 points and a plus-16 rating in 57 games with Sudbury of the Ontario Hockey League.

If McGinn and Galiardi can be considered to have similar value, then the Avalanche are hoping that they can get some sort of long-term value out of Connolly and/or Sgarbossa to offset the loss of Winnik for the last quarter of this season, certainly a reasonable hope that offers more long-term upside if one of these prospects becomes a scoring forward in the NHL.

The Sharks are better today for making this move, because Winnik is an established commodity and should be able to help the Sharks down the stretch and into the playoffs, but the Avalanche got a decent package in return for an expiring asset.

Scott Cullen can be reached at Scott.Cullen@bellmedia.ca and followed on Twitter at http://twitter.com/tsnscottcullen. For more, check out TSN Fantasy on Facebook.

Jamie McGinn (Photo: Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

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(Photo: Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
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