Mixed Martial Arts

Takedown: Predictions for UFC Fight Night 33

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James Lynch, TSN.ca
12/5/2013 5:30:08 PM
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The UFC holds a rare Friday night event with UFC Fight Night 33 from Brisbane, Australia. Featured is a main event pitting two fighters looking for redemption in the heavyweight division. As always myself (@LynchOnSports) and Jordan Cieciwa (@FitCityJordan) have our preview and picks. Let us know which side you're on! Use the hashtag #TeamLynch or #TeamJC on Twitter. Also feel free to leave you opinions in the comment section below.

Antonio “Bigfoot”Silva vs. Mark Hunt

James Lynch TSN.ca (@LynchOnSports)

American Top Team product Silva heads into enemy territory when he battles 39-year old Hunt in a very important matchup for the heavyweight division.

Both fighters are coming off losses to the two best fighters in the division, with Silva losing to champion Cain Velasquez and Hunt losing to former champion Junior Dos Santos.

Like many of their peers, both fighters have exceptional stand up, with a combined 26-knockouts between them. While they each share the same amount of knockout wins at 13 apiece, it's Hunt who clearly possess more power. 

The South Wales native also is a former K-1 kickboxing champion and has an impressive 30-13 record during his tenure.

If “Bigfoot” tries to test his boxing skills against Hunt, it could be a recipe for disaster.

However should he get this fight to the mat, the Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt will have a significant advantage as six of Hunt's eight losses have come by way of submission. 

In addition for Hunt, in both the Dos Santos loss and in the Stefan Struve win, his conditioning appeared very lackluster and it's obvious that age has caught up to him.

The 34-year old Brazilian should win this fight as he should implement a rare game-plan and go for the submission. Once he's found his range and taken down his elder foe, he'll sink in the submission for the win. 
 
Silva via second round submission 
 
Jordan Cieciwa TSN 1290 (@FitCityJordan)

Mark Hunt versus Antonio Silva is a solid fight, but I'm not sure if it's a main event. Weather it is or not isn't up for debate, it's happening.

Here's what I see going down.

I've been a big fan of Mark Hunt for a long time. The problem, he's very one dimensional. Hunt spent years in the K-1 Kickboxing organization. To excel there, you can't mess around with wrestling and jujitsu. Your focus has to be on perfect your kickboxing skills. Hunt did that and amassed an impressive 30-13 record in the K-1 league.

It's no secret his weakness is his submission defense game. That is the only way Silva can beat him. Now flip to the other side of the cage and Silva gets KO'd often. I see this going to experience, and striking. Hunt should be able to stay on his feet and end this with a bang. 
 
Hunt via first round knockout 
 
 Mauricio “Shogun” Rua vs. James Te Huna

Lynch

Sticking with the theme of fighters coming off losses, former UFC light heavyweight champion Rua battles Australia native Te-Huna in the night's co-feature.

Many (including myself) were shocked when in his last fight; “Shogun” was submitted by Chael Sonnen in the first round which handed the Brazilian his fourth loss in his last six-fights. Fans of the 32-year old PRIDE veteran are left with frustration as his lack of conditioning and preparation have been the catalyst for most of his recent losses.

Te Huna meanwhile was on a roll after his UFC debut, amassing an impressive 5-1 record and looked well on his way to earning a title shot. Those dreams were shattered as he suffered a first round submission loss to Glover Teixeira back at UFC 160 this past May.

The real question heading into this fight is, will the 2006 PRIDE Middleweight Grand-Prix champ feel the sense of urgency and not take his 32-year old counterpart lightly?

Shogun has the clear advantage on the ground but will he implement that game plan?

Five of Te Huna's six losses have come by way of tap out and Shogun is a BJJ black belt. Standing and trading with the Aussie could be risky, especially when you consider that in his 22-fight career, he's never been knocked out. 

This time around, we should see a more motivated and hungry “Shogun” as he'll likely catch the hometown hero early in the first round.

Rua via first round submission 
 
JC

James Te Huna has been getting quite the following. He's had mixed reviews in his last few fights, but overall the talk about him is good. He put a solid beating on Joey Beltran, and has looked like a solid power puncher in every outing.

His opponent is the legend Mauricio "Shogun" Rua.

Rua has looked very human in his last few outings. His loses coming in fights where he looks unprepared and out of shape. Which leaves me wondering, what's going to show up at this event?

Anything other than a fit, sharp, prepared MMA athlete is going to get his head knocked off.

The better, more all-round fighter is Rua. The hungry fighter is Te Huna. My money is on the TKO for the hungry fighter.
 
Te Huna via third round TKO

Ryan Bader vs. Anthony Perosh

Lynch

Ultimate Fighter Season 8 winner Bader enters hostile territory when he battles 41-year old Perosh.

Like Te Huna, Bader is also coming off a first round stoppage loss to Glover Teixeira in his last fight and hopes a win will keep his status as a contender in the division.

“The Hippo” meanwhile is coming off a huge upset victory over Vinny Magalhaes in the first round, back at UFC 163 and hopes to do the same this Friday night.

Lighting shouldn't strike twice as Bader is superior in all areas of this fight.

We should see a similar bout to Perosh's loss to Ryan Jimmo as Bader will earn a quick victory over the South Wales native via knockout. 

Bader via first round knockout 

JC

Ryan Bader burst on the scene after the season 8 Ultimate Fighter win. After that, he has had a lot of ups and downs. Tito Ortiz ran through him like a man on fire, as did Machida and Teixeira. So he has those loses in his recent memory, but let's talk about this one fact: He has faced the best in the division. Sure those fights combined represent less than 10 minutes of cage time. The point is, he prepared to that level, and is still close to there.

That level is a long way above 41-year-old Anthony Perosh who got unconscious really quick against Ryan Jimmo. That being said, Perosh looked fantastic against Nick Penner (A good friend of mine, so it's hard to write that) and spent 14 seconds in the cage in his last fight against Vinny Magalhaes. 

Here are the cold hard facts on fighting. The first minute of a fight is the scariest. Nerves, finding range, and small mistakes turn to quick knockouts.

Anyone counting Perosh out based on a Jimmo KO is crazy.

Perosh has something to bring to this fight, and I think we will see an over confident Ryan Bader get steam rolled Tito Ortiz style by a veteran who got caught a few fights ago.

Perosh via third round submission

Pat Barry vs. Soa Palelei

Lynch

Barry looks to rebound from his disappointing loss to Shawn Jordan back at UFC 161 as he takes on Aussie native Palelei.

While Barry is superior in the striking department, he faces a fighter who has both a significant height and reach advantage.

In addition, “The Hulk” is on a nine-fight win streak, while Barry has lost four of his last six fights. Barry is the favorite, but I think we'll see an upset as Palelei will thrive off the energy of his native crowd and catch the 34-year old on the chin, sometime in the second round.

Palelei via second round knockout 
 
JC

This is a clear case of hometown crowd and a good fighter who's been knocked out too many times.

The flash knockout Pat Barry suffered at the hands of Shawn Jordan still won't be fully clear. It increases the risk of another "easy" knockout. That injury in addition to being the smaller fighter again puts Barry in a dangerous place. This is going to be another knock out he won't soon forget. 
 
Palelei via second round Knockout
 
Dylan Andrews vs. Clint Hester

Lynch

New Zealand native Andrews looks for his seventh straight victory when he battles American Hester in a middleweight encounter.

This is a typical striker versus grappler matchup, with Hester being predominantly known for his knockout power and Andrew's being well versed on the mat.

In most cases, the submission ace usually takes home the victory and this should be the case for this fight on Friday night.

In addition, the 27-year old Hester injured himself a few months ago, so there is no telling if he's fully healed from that injury.

This should be Andrew's fight to lose and if he can avoid his American counterpart's stand up, he should win this fight.

Expect Andrews to land in a fight ending submission in the second round and keep his winning streak alive.  

Andrews via second round submission 
 

I'm excited for this fight. Anytime there is a striker fighting an accomplished grappler I'm instantly transported back to the original UFC days.

Like those first few UFC's, I always bet on a jiu-jitsu practitioner to win. It's just the way life seems to go. This should be no different. I expect Dylan Andrews to use his grappling to push Hester into a mistake.

That mistake will be capitalized on, and I strongly feel this will end with a TKO.
 
Dylan Andrews via third round TKO
 
Julie Kedzie vs. Bethe Correia

Lynch

Judo ace Kedzie makes her UFC debut against fellow promotional newcomer Correia.

Despite losing her last three-fights, the 32-year old has a significant experience advantage with 28-fights under her belt compared to “Pitbull's" six fights.

Even in her loss to current title challenger Miesha Tate back in 2012, Kedzie was winning the fight up until she was submitted.

Usually when a veteran fighter faces an up and comer they generally lose (Case in point last weekend with Raquel Pennington defeating Roxanne Modafarri) However in this situation, I expect Kedzie to come out with a sense of urgency in her UFC debut and take home a unanimous decision.

Kedzie via unanimous decision. 

JC

This fight looks like it will be really tough for Bethe Correia. Her opponent, Julie Kedzie has been in the cage with the top challenger in the division (including Miesha Tate) and held her own.

That means Correia has a tough night of high paced work ahead of her.

Kedzie has 28 fights to her credit, which is tough to do in the women's division. That amount of time in the cage is a significant advantage.

The only thing going in Correia's favor is her underdog status. She's not expected to win, that means the pressure isn't on her. She also may have some tricks up her sleeve that we don't know about. That being said, it's a huge experience difference.

Kedzie via unanimous decision

Undercard Picks: 

Lynch: Mizugaki, Ring, Scoggins, Santos, Garcia

JC: Mizugaki, Ring, Scoggins, Jotko, Garcia

Also be sure to tune into the “Weigh-In” on TSN Radio 1290 Winnipeg every Saturday as myself, Jordan and “Big Marv” Timog go toe to toe discussing the hottest topics in MMA.

Antonio Silva (Photo: Donald Miralle/Zuffa LLC/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)

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(Photo: Donald Miralle/Zuffa LLC/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)
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